Simulation of the equatorially asymmetric mode of the Hadley circulation in CMIP5 models     

Juan Feng  Jianping Li  Jianlei Zhu  Fei Li  Cheng Sun 《大气科学进展》2015,32(8):1129-1142

The tropical Hadley circulation (HC) plays an important role in influencing the climate in the tropics and extra-tropics. The realism of the climatological characteristics, spatial structure, and temporal evolution of the long-term variation of the principal mode of the annual mean HC (i.e., the equatorially asymmetric mode, EAM) was examined in model simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). The results showed that all the models are moderately successful in capturing the HC's climatological features, including the spatial pattern, meridional extent, and intensity, but not the spatial or temporal variation of the EAM. The possible reasons for the poor simulation of the long-term variability of the EAM were explored. None of the models can successfully capture the differences in the warming rate between the tropical Southern Hemisphere (SH) and Northern Hemisphere (NH), which is considered to be an important driver for the variation of the AM. Most of the models produce a faster warming in the NH than in the SH, which is the reverse of the observed trend. This leads to a reversed trend in the meridional gradient between the SH and NH, and contributes to the poor simulation of EAM variability. Thus, this aspect of the models should be improved to provide better simulations of the variability of the HC. This study suggests a possible reason for the poor simulation of the HC, which may be helpful for improving the skill of the CMIP5 models in the future.  相似文献   

Atmospheric Circulation Changes in Response to an Observed Stratospheric Zonal Ozone Anomaly     

Dieter H. W. Peters  Andrea Schneidereit  Marianne Bügelmayer  Christoph Zülicke  Ingo Kirchner 《大气与海洋》2015,53(1):74-88

Abstract

In a sensitivity study, the influence of an observed stratospheric zonal ozone anomaly on the atmospheric circulation was investigated using the Fifth Generation European Centre Hamburg Model (ECHAM5) which is a general circulation model. The model was run from 1960 to 1999 (40 years) with a mean seasonal cycle of zonally symmetric ozone. In order to isolate the induced dynamical influence of the observed zonally asymmetric part of the three-dimensional stratospheric ozone, a second run was performed for the boreal extratropics using prescribed monthly means from the 40-year reanalysis dataset from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ERA-40). The main findings are the interdecadal westward shift of the polar vortex at about 65°N and a significant increase in the number of stratospheric sudden warmings during the 1980–99 period. Under the action of zonally asymmetric ozone a decrease in the Arctic Oscillation was identified between the mid-1980s and the mid-1990s. The lag correlation between the mean Arctic Oscillation at the surface and the daily stratospheric northern annular mode increased in mid-winter. Furthermore, we examined the influence of the stratospheric zonal ozone anomaly on Rossby wave breaking in the upper troposphere and found a significant westward shift of poleward Rossby wave breaking events over western Europe in the winter. By this we show that the stratospheric zonal ozone anomaly has a strong influence on the tropospheric circulation as a result of enhanced dynamical coupling processes.  相似文献   

雷达-雨量计联合估测区域降水量方法检验与评估   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

李建通  李柏  杨洪平  刘晓阳  张玲  郭林 《气象》2015,41(2):200-211

文章在"黄河淮河流域暴雨洪水预报系统"项目试验整理的高密度地面雨量站网数据和雷达连续采集体积扫描数据基础上,首次提出了对稠密雨量站网数据科学分组的方法,并采用分组数据对雷达-雨量计联合校准的10种方法进行了多参数的客观检验和评估。研究表明:(1)雨量站分组方法科学合理,可以满足评估的要求;(2)集成法估测区域降水量好于其他非集成的8种方法;(3)雷达对不同降水强度的估测精度具有三段式分布特征;(4)50~100 km为雷达估测降水的最佳区间,150~200 km区间的估测精度最差;(5)通过时间累积,可以提高各种估测方法区域降水量估测的精度和稳定度。  相似文献   

PDCA循环法用于专业硕士产教融合培养模式研究     

史建青  董春来  冯娜娜  王信祥 《测绘通报》2021,(3):152-155

为满足新时代对卓越工程技术人才的需求,本文在分析专业硕士培养现状基础上,从人才培养方案入手,提出了PDCA理念用于产教深度融合培养模式,讨论了产教深度融合培养的目标制定、计划落实、课程体系开发、导师团队优化及实践基地的质量保障建设等方面的模式与对策,论述了专业硕士研究生培养的质量监控体系,总结出教育教学各环节的计划、执行、考查、处理的持续改进和提高的螺旋式上升过程,为专业硕士高水平培养与管理提供参考与借鉴。  相似文献   

居民出行与轨迹行为交互模式挖掘与关联技术     

代维秀  陈占龙  谢鹏 《测绘学报》2021,50(4):532-543

出租车是居民出行的重要交通工具,其轨迹数据蕴含着丰富的居民出行信息。原始出租车轨迹数据因缺少语义信息无法直观反映居民出行规律。通过轨迹数据挖掘技术处理之后的出租车轨迹数据能够反映居民活动规律和行为模式,从而为城市规划决策提供参考依据。本文重点研究了基于语义的交互模式度量,通过出租车停留点推断其语义信息;然后根据语义信息构建语义交互矩阵,用以推断和描述行为目的交互模式;最后选取北京市中心为研究区域进行方法验证。结果表明,中心城区内不同类别的停留点聚集分布规律不同,围绕高校和商圈聚集较明显;工作日各类停留点的活跃度持续时间较非工作日长;工作日和非工作日行为目的交互模式差别显著,工作日以职住和工作交互为主,非工作日以休闲和居住交互为主。本文研究可以为城市规划管理、资源调度和应急管理提供一定的决策支持。  相似文献   

疫情防控期“数字地形测量学”线上教学实践     

曹先革  杨金玲  王霞迎 《测绘工程》2021,30(3):72-76

疫情之下,在线教学为“停课不停教、停课不停学”提供了理想的教学方案。基于超星泛雅网络教学平台,以“数字地形测量学”在线课程建设为例,探索在线课程的建设方法与途径,构建“能学、辅教”的立体化教学资源,进行“超星泛雅+学习通+腾讯课堂+课程QQ群”混合教学模式的探索和实践,为在线课程建设与应用提供借鉴。  相似文献   

现阶段地质勘查与开发模式探索     

魏润相 《陕西地质》2011,29(1):105-108

从计划经济到市场经济体制,从不同角度阐述了探矿权的取得和流转过程以及资源的开发和利用。有偿取得矿权,意味着探矿权有了财产权属性。资源储量成了矿政管理的基础,进而有利于加快勘查进程,提高勘查找矿的经济效益,促进勘查投资主体多元化的发展,使资源利用真正做到市场配置。  相似文献   

章丘市积极探索旧村综合整治新模式     

闫太重 《山东地质》2011,(2):62-64

章丘市创新旧村综合整治新模式,以群众满意不满意、拥护不拥护为标准,不搞一个模式,不搞盲目推进。为稳步推进,确保社会稳定,把好事办好,章丘市国土资源局加大了市场化运作方式,把权力交给基层群众,积极探索了多元化运作机制,有力地推动了旧村整治与新社区建设的发展。  相似文献   

利用有限单元法模拟二维MT倾子响应   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

童孝忠  柳建新  刘颖  甘佳雄  张连伟 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2011,(Z1):349-354

在二维地电模型中,考虑到大地电磁测深(MT)倾子响应依赖于横电(TE)模式的数值模拟问题,笔者采用矩形网格单元和双二次插值对MT的倾子响应进行求解。首先,给出了二维地电条件下的边值问题和变分问题,并通过有限单元法对模型进行单元剖分、插值、积分和整体合成;其次,通过求解复系数方程组得到了每个节点的电场值;最后,采用差分方法求得电场沿横向和垂向的偏导数值,从而计算出二维MT的倾子响应。通过对2个二维地电模型的倾子响应进行数值模拟,获得了倾子响应的实部、虚部和振幅,结果很好地反映了不均匀体的横向分布情况。  相似文献   

Formation rates of Subantarctic mode water and Antarctic intermediate water within the South Pacific   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Corinne A. Hartin  Rana A. FineBernadette M. Sloyan  Lynne D. TalleyTeresa K. Chereskin  James Happell 《Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers》2011,58(5):524-534

The formation of Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW) and Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) significantly contributes to the total uptake and storage of anthropogenic gases, such as CO₂ and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), within the world's oceans. SAMW and AAIW formation rates in the South Pacific are quantified based on CFC-12 inventories using hydrographic data from WOCE, CLIVAR, and data collected in the austral winter of 2005. This study documents the first wintertime observations of CFC-11 and CFC-12 saturations with respect to the 2005 atmosphere in the formation region of the southeast Pacific for SAMW and AAIW. SAMW is 94% and 95% saturated for CFC-11 and CFC-12, respectively, and AAIW is 60% saturated for both CFC-11 and CFC-12. SAMW is defined from the Subantarctic Front to the equator between potential densities 26.80-27.06 kg m⁻³, and AAIW is defined from the Polar Front to 20°N between potential densities 27.06-27.40 kg m⁻³. CFC-12 inventories are 16.0×10⁶ moles for SAMW and 8.7×10⁶ moles for AAIW, corresponding to formation rates of 7.3±2.1 Sv for SAMW and 5.8±1.7 Sv for AAIW circulating within the South Pacific. Inter-ocean transports of SAMW from the South Pacific to the South Atlantic are estimated to be 4.4±0.6 Sv. Thus, the total formation of SAMW in the South Pacific is approximately 11.7±2.2 Sv. These formation rates represent the average formation rates over the major period of CFC input, from 1970 to 2005. The CFC-12 inventory maps provide direct evidence for two areas of formation of SAMW, one in the southeast Pacific and one in the central Pacific. Furthermore, eddies in the central Pacific containing high CFC concentrations may contribute to SAMW and to a lesser extent AAIW formation. These CFC-derived rates provide a baseline with which to compare past and future formation rates of SAMW and AAIW.  相似文献